The Erudite Aardvark
Monday, October 24, 2016
Buckeyes Loss May Be Big 12's Gain
It was
pure college football melodrama. Late in the fourth quarter, the Ohio State
Buckeyes were clinging to a narrow lead in a hard fought contest against a team
that was considered to be a 19 point underdog. Stop me if you’ve heard this one
before. We’ve seen Ohio State struggle against teams that don’t have their
level of talent, only to watch the Buckeyes have the ball bounce their way in
the waning moments of the game to preserve the win.
But this one didn’t follow
the script. The Buckeyes lined up for a field goal that would secure the win
against the unranked but tough Nittany Lions. The kick was blocked and the ball
bounced into the arms of Grant Haley, who took the ball all the way to the end
zone. The Penn State defense held on the final series and the mighty Buckeyes
went down.
So, who really lost? And who
stands to win as a result of this? The answers may not be as easy as they seem.
OHIO STATE
Yes, they lost the game and that’s always bad. But tOSU is almost
never just playing for one game. They’re playing for a playoff spot. Did this
loss diminish their hopes of obtaining one of those four golden tickets? Not
really. They dropped a few spots in the polls, but not far enough that a victory
over Michigan at the end of the year won’t propel them right back into the
picture. The Buckeyes don’t have a cakewalk for the remaining four games until
they face the Team Up North but they should win them. Northwestern, Nebraska,
Maryland and Michigan State stand in their way. If they lose any of those five
they will likely be out of contention. Bottom line? This loss isn’t a
determining factor for the Buckeyes.
THE BIG TEN
This is where the real issue lay. Now that Ohio State has lost, the
playoff spot will most likely come down to the winner of the Ohio
State-Michigan game. It was possible that the Big 10 could’ve gotten two teams
into the playoff. The loser of the OSU-Michigan game might not fall far enough
to knock them out of fourth place. That’s not likely now. So the Big 10 is a
virtual certainty to get one of their teams in unless something unprecedented
happens. But they most likely won’t get two.
BIG TWELVE/BAYLOR/WEST
VIRGINIA
College football is a zero sum game. Someone’s misery is someone
else’s treasure trove. The Big 12 has been bad mouthed all season as not being
worthy of consideration. Some of that talk is merited. Most of it is not.
Conferences rise and fall in cycles. The Big 12 is not as powerful this year as
they are in most years when considered in total. But the ACC is proving that
they aren’t anywhere near as good as they were touted early in the year too.
Miami in the top 10? Notre Dame ranked in the top 10? (Yes, I am aware that
Notre Dame is only a stepchild of the ACC but I’m still counting them) Pac 12?
Anybody remember when Stanford was in the top 10?
The truth is that you have a wobbly Clemson team that is very
talented but has been living on the edge. You have a Louisville team that is no
doubt talented but darn near lost to Duke. The Pac 12 has one team that has the
look and feel of a playoff contender. That’s Washington.
So why is the Big 12 getting
pounded on while others have an easy go in the media? You can make a pretty
good case that the SEC is the strongest conference top to bottom and that the
Big 10 is next. After that it’s not so clear if you’re objective. The answer is
simple. The media lack objectivity. The Big 12 is being punished because the
standard bearers right now aren’t Oklahoma and Texas. They are Baylor and West Virginia.
As long as the old stalwarts are in control the sports media plays along. But
if you try to put the Mountaineers or to a lesser extent the Bears into the
playoff, well, you’d better buckle up. It’s going to be a rough ride.
Baylor is a known quantity.
We understand they have talent. But do they have the depth to see this thing
through with only 70 scholarship players? Disaster is just a turf toe away
every week for the Bears.
But hear this; West Virginia
is tough. West Virginia is snarling. West Virginia means business. Take a cue
from their basketball team the past few years if you want to have an
understanding of what this disrespected school in this disrespected state is
all about. They are a no-nonsense, up in your face aggressor that backs down
from no one. They may have the best receiving corps in the country. Their
offensive line is a top ten unit and the best lineman they have is out for the
season. Their senior quarterback that no one wanted has quietly improved into a
quality P5 leader and passer. The defense is just…..nasty. It’s a blitz early,
blitz often, blitz from places you don’t think we’ll blitz from scheme. They gamble a lot. And one of these days it
may cost them a game. But it also may not. And if it doesn’t, West Virginia
will be coming to a college playoff near you, whether your favorite sports
commentator wants them to or not. And they probably will have the Penn State
Nittany Lions to thank for it.
Friday, August 15, 2014
The Rubicon Trilogy: An Interview With the Author of the Soon to be Published Techno-Thriller, Stephen M. Walker
(We sat down with Stephen Walker to discuss his soon to be published historical techno-thriller trilogy, Rubicon, and to get his thoughts on the book, his experiences as a first-time novelist, his influences and the challenges he faced undertaking such a complex project. Stephen has contributed blog articles and white papers on a wide range of subject to this blog in the past.)
So we have with us
today the new author of the soon to be released techno-thriller Rubicon,
Stephen Walker. Stephen, set the stage for us and give potential readers a
broad overview of what they can expect in Rubicon.
The finishing chapter
and scenes have not been finished, but the bulk of the writing is complete. The
word you used, techno-thriller, is probably a fair one, but it also encompasses
a lot more than your standard gee-whiz descriptions of gadgetry and technology.
The book is actually three books, a trilogy.
I’ve always been
fascinated by the pace of technological change and the good and bad that comes
with it. Most people have heard of the Nobel Prizes awarded in Sweden for
various positive academic achievements and research and also the Nobel Peace
Prize. Most people don’t realize that Alfred Nobel was a chemist and engineer
who ran one of the largest and most successful armaments manufacturing
companies in the world, Bofors. He was responsible for inventing the blasting
cap, dynamite and the substance that is the forerunner of what we today call
cordite.
He was keenly aware
that his inventions would be used to make war. Although he saw positive uses
for his explosive inventions such as blasting railroad tunnels, taking down
dangerous rock overhangs and stabilizing avalanche zones, he understood that
his work would mostly be used to make war. As a way to counter-balance these
things, he used his sizable estate to fund the Nobel Prizes.
The book leans on
this for part of its premise. Technology in and of itself is benign. It is
neither good nor bad. The uses that imperfect men and ambitious nations put the
technology to make the application either bad or good.
So would you then also say that Rubicon as a novel,
is a statement about the dangers of runaway technology?
STEPHEN
It is. We hear a
great deal these days about the singularity from a purely technological
perspective. Raymond Kurzweil wrote a brilliant book about ten years ago called
The Singularity is Near. Although he never claims to have come up with
the base idea that the pace of technological change is outstripping society’s
ability to comprehend it, he was the first to try and formulate what an
unrestrained future might look like.
I’ve used a term in
the book called the sW, the
Singularity of Warfare. Although the term is a creation of my imagination, the
evidence that it is indeed occurring is all around us. Military forces all
around the world are having difficulty getting design and testing for the
fighter planes and battle tanks of the next generation because technology is
changing so quickly that they aren’t certain that a project that gets
green-lighted in 2014 will still be a relevant weapon system by the times its
fielded in perhaps 2019.
Rubicon speaks directly to the very real possibility
that a very small country or even a very small company or group could become a
force to be reckoned with on the world stage because of the wild pace of
technological change. They could wield the power that in the past was reserved
only for industrialized nations; the ability to project power overseas and
carry out one nations will against another on that nations soil with relative
impunity. When you can bring that kind of power to bear, you’re a superpower.
THE ERUDITE AARDVARK
Without being a
spoiler, can you tell our readers a little more about Rubicon and what
they can expect in terms of its’ playout scenario?
Certainly. In a rare
moment of candor, the President of the United States and his advisory team
comes to the realization that America is too hamstrung politically to win the
so-called War on Terror. His belief is that no matter which political party
is in power in Washington, the party in
the minority will do anything, no matter
the cost, to regain power. That includes seeing the country cede territory that
was seized in battle, leave areas where US troops were previously engaged and
release those captured during fighting. Although many in his own party, and
many in the opposition party believe that America can’t collapse no matter how
badly the war is mis-managed, he sees a different picture. He sees that for
every fire he puts out, five to ten new ones take its place. He comes to
understand that he will be the man sitting in the Oval Office when America’s
reign as the sole world superpower comes crashing down.
This President is a
pragmatist. He knows that he has a House and Senate that is aligned against him
that will counter any move that he takes. He begins to meet secretly with
Senator Myron Canfield, a longtime opponent and powerful member of the Senate
Armed Forces Committee and Senate Intelligence Committee. Canfield is a
dinosaur from the days of the Cold War and has many friends in both the House
and the Senate. He’s owed many favors by the intelligence community and is in
the twilight of his career.
Although Canfield and
the President are polar opposites, they do agree on this point; America will
soon lose the War on Terror. Together, they jointly cobble together a very
small team of like-minded people from both parties. They make the decision that
the only way to win is to completely bypass the giant US intelligence machine
and outsource the dirtiest and most controversial aspects of the war to a group
that has no trace to the United States.
So this is a group
that operates in the shadows of The Shadow War?
(Laughing) I suppose that’s a good way to think of it. I
hadn’t thought of that.
THE ERUDITE AARDVARK
You call these men “francs-tireur”, correct? Basically
meaning that they are high-tech pirates?
Many countries have
employed francs-tireur over the years. In the broadest of terms, yes they are
pirates. The distinction with francs-tireur is that they have been sanctioned
to perform certain duties on behalf of a government. At times they were paid a
commission and at other times they were simply allowed to plunder whatever they
came across and keep it with the promise of no reprisals against them. If this
sounds a lot like Blackbeard and Black Bart stuff, that’s because that’s what
it usually was.
So although a country
may secretly hire francs-tireur to complete a mission, they don’t direct them
on how to accomplish that mission. It was this plausible deniability that made
dealing with these people so appealing.
The parts of the book you provided to us had a great deal of
historical content and accuracy. The story actually goes back into the 1940’s
and spends a good deal of time there. Why did you feel it was so important to
include that in order to tell the story?
STEPHEN
Like millions of
others, I’m a fan of espionage thrillers, techno-thrillers and Black Operations
stories. I know for myself, I always find myself asking questions, like, “how
did they manage to get those safe houses set up?” or “how did the bad guys come
into possession of this technology in the first place” or “how do they get the
money to operate and where do their weapons come from?” Some authors explain
it, but most just leave it to your imagination to get the answers to those
questions.
The story behind the
Tesla technology, the mysterious death of Tesla, the seizure and then
disappearance of his research and writings, that is all true. The fact that he
approached the War Department with an idea for a peace ray is real. The fact
that his friend was a registered agent for Nazi Germany is also real.
The truth is that
there were dozens of projects being undertaken in 1942-1944 that now sound
outlandish; pigeon-guided missiles, bombs that were steered by cats, small
packages of explosives affixed to millions of bats so that they would be
released over Tokyo and fly into dark corners of wood and paper homes before
exploding and catching the entire city on fire. Some regarded Tesla as a
crackpot but many others thought that he might have the solution to the end of
the war. In either case, he was watched by the FBI until his unexplained death
in his hotel room.
The United States
knew that they were working on the atomic bomb and at some point, saw that it
was going to be the answer for the super-weapon they were looking for. However,
they were afraid that the Germans, as well as the Soviets, were making
overtures to Nikola Tesla. He had made it very clear that he felt that every
country should be given his technology because it would mean that no country
could successfully wage war against another. It was the original Mutual Assured
Destruction. He’d offered it first to the US because he was a naturalized
American. The War Department didn’t want it, but they didn’t want anyone else
to have it either. Tesla was a close associate and friend of George S. Viereck.
He often gave Tesla money and befriended him, often hosting him at their home
in New York. Viereck was jailed on charges of being an agent of Germany. He was
released temporarily under odd circumstances and the re-incarcerated. Although
charged with a federal crime, he was held in the Washington, DC city jail.
Tesla’s family were
ethnic Serbs, but he was born in Croatia. The United States feared that Tesla’s
allegiances, ethnicity or love for the country of his birth could also move him
to provide his peace ray to the Soviet Union, who were funding and assisting
the Chetniks in fighting the Nazi’s at various points in the war.
So you’ve woven the fictional story piece into the fabric of
the historical account? The manuscript you provided to us does that with
several different story lines throughout the book, correct?
Yes. It’s a favorite technique of mine. I
always enjoy looking at actual events that transpired and then trying to weave
in what I think the back story might be. Call it the conspiracy theorist
within.
So, again, not to give away the entire story, but this
technology continues to be pursued throughout the Cold War and into the present
day?
STEPHEN
Yes. The Tesla
technology becomes something of a black market “White Whale”. I trace the
parties that were pursuing it from the end of World War Two up through the
present day. There are three proxy parties that are involved, just as there
were three parties involved in the war years. As we know, the United States
lost interest in particle beam weaponry. But a group picked up that torch. Tesla’s research was obtained through a
partial sampling of his stolen papers by the Nazi’s and that line is also traceable
to a group trying to obtain these weapons. A third group managed to obtain old
research done just after the war by the Soviets and replicate a measure of
success by trying to update the work.
The three lines can
all directly be traced back to Nikola Tesla’s original works and the failure of
the War Department at that time to see the use case for particle beam weapons.
The myopia was caused by the pressure to bring the war to a close and defeat
the Germans and Japanese. The focus was on super-weapons, what we now refer to
as weapons of mass destruction. The thinking then was that an invasion of the
Japanese home islands would cost one million American lives. The Allies knew
that Germany was close to perfecting more accurate V2 rockets, jet propulsion
aircraft, helicopters and even a nuclear bomb of their own. The story goes that
were it not for the actions of a handful of Norweigian resistance fighters, the
Nazi’s would have taken enough deuterium away from Norway to create an atomic
bomb before the Americans did.
As a result of these
things, no one saw the need to develop a weapon who’s power dissipated over
very short distances. Only in the decades around the 1980’s and 1990’s did
governments begin to see the benefit that pinpoint strikes from these
short-range weapons could have. With the development of UAV technology,
miniaturized versions of these weapons could be flown anywhere in the world and
used for covert assassinations, hostage rescues and support for special forces
operating in hostile areas.
The UAV and particle
beam technologies become chicken and egg complements to one another. As both
become smaller, quieter and more powerful, their desirability starts to come
alive again. But most nation-states have ignored them for so long that they’re
hopelessly behind these small but well funded groups that have been working
through trial and error with these technologies for decades.
And, as one might
expect, the technology must be used by one group to destroy the ability of the
other groups to employ it?
Yes, its not giving too much of the storyline away to say
that the powers that have developed or are trying to develop the Tesla
technology are pitted against one another. The risk here being not that World
War Three will break out as a result, but that a thousand small, black, covert
wars will break out if those who are seeking to employ this technology succeed
and that the world will implode into a tangled mess of plausibly deniable
assassinations and covert attacks.
This is your first full length novel. You’ve written other
short stories and smaller fare prior to this. Why take on a complex, 1300 page
monster like this on your first attempt?
I agree that it’s a huge challenge. But I think I’m up to
the task. In truth, it probably would’ve been easier to start with a less
complex story line and fewer characters to develop. But this is the story I’ve
wanted to write for some time. I didn’t see trying to break it down into three
separate books. It just doesn’t play or flow naturally to that direction. In a
general sense, the novel flows chronologically, but in order to allow the
reader to stay abreast of the background and to fully grasp why things happened
as they did or mist happen as they eventually will, I have to flashback
throughout the book.
Although it’s my
first novel, I’ve done writing for others and written short stories and essays,
so it’s not my first attempt at writing.
THE ERUDITE AARDVARK
You’ve said that you’re a huge fan of the novels of the late
great Tom Clancy and Vince Flynn as well as the Scott Harvath series that Brad
Thor authors. Two questions come up here from reading your manuscript; first,
who else besides those three do you feel has been an influence on the way you
write? And second, what accounts for the lack of coarse language in the book
and what seems to be eschewing graphic descriptions of violence?
STEPHEN
As for other
influences on what makes me want to write, those three are big. I have a
tremendous amount of respect for Brad Thor. He must do tons of research for his
books. His back story designs are just wonderful. Not only do I think he’s an
excellent writer technically, he’s great at weaving in a fictional story to a
historical account. And he does it without trying to come off as trying to
alter someone’s perspective or engage in revisionist history. It’s a fine balance
and I don’t think he gets enough credit for how good he is at it. As for other
writers, I’m like every other guy I guess. I like George Orwell, I like
adventure stories like Treasure Island and Robinson Crusoe. I like Jack London,
James Michener and Sherwood Anderson. That’s quite a crew, huh?
To answer your
question about the coarse language and the violence, yes, it was done
intentionally. I’ve served in the military, I’ve been around these types of
operators and operations, and I’ve heard every four letter word you can imagine
used in some very creative and often humorous ways. But when you grow up and
get a few years on you and have kids, you begin to realize that vulgar language
and cursing in general really just contribute to the coarsening of society.
I’ve never alleged that any of the characters in my book are choir boys or even
that that they should be emulated and admired. In some cases, they engage in
some very shocking behavior that most people would consider barbaric. I’m not
saying that these tough black operators don’t curse or ever use foul language.
That’s up to the reader to decide. Just because you didn’t see him or her say
anything vulgar in the scene you looked in on doesn’t mean that it didn’t
happen in some other place when they’re out of view of the readers eye.
I didn’t want to use
the language in my writing because I don’t use that language around my friends
or family or think its an appropriate way to express myself. It’s probably not
realistic to expect that a group or men like this wouldn’t use profanity.
That’s fine. They just didn’t happen to say it when we were looking in on them.
I don’t think I need
to painfully describe graphic scenes of violence. If someone feels that they
are reading something purely for the long, drawn out descriptions of someone in
the throes of dying, you probably just need to not read my book and go rent Saw
VI or something to satisfy that need.
It’s the nature of
espionage, war and games of state that people lose their lives in the pursuit of
their nation’s or group’s interests. It wouldn’t re realistic to write about
otherwise. When you do that you get Adam West in Batman where people get beat
up and fall off of buildings but are back the following week to terrorize the
people of Gotham City.
People die in this
book. Many of them die violent deaths, as would be the case in real life. I
feel like I tell the story enough to give you a feel for what’s happened
without being over the top about it. I have no desire to morbid or grotesque.
My aim is to deliver to the reader the essence of what happens when a team of
door kickers takes down a warehouse with criminals inside. That doesn’t, in my
humble opinion, require descriptions of bullets ripping through tissue and body
parts flying everywhere.
You can show someone
a pig and then point them to a slaughterhouse and then show them a sausage
patty and they get the idea. They understand what went on in that
slaughterhouse without having to be walked into it and forced to turn the handle
of the sausage grinder themselves. I just don’t see that it’s necessary to do
as a literary device. Others may disagree.
Thank you for your time today. We appreciate you talking
with us about your observations and about the book.
You’re more than welcome. I should be thanking you.
Hopefully people will read the interview and make a point to look for the book.
If they like Clancy, Thor and Flynn novels and enjoy a little conspiracy theory
and history lesson on the side, hopefully they’ll like this book and buy it and
recommend it to their friends.
Thursday, November 21, 2013
Rumble in the Mountains - Troubled Times for West Virginia Mountaineer Football
In late 2007 all was right in Mountaineer land. The West Virginia Mountaineer
football team was on the verge of playing in its very first BCS Championship
game. A bizarre series of upsets in college football had left the highly
regarded Mountaineers as the only legitimate prospect to play Ohio State for
the national title. There is little
doubt in anyone’s mind that, had West Virginia played Ohio State in that game,
they would have ripped the Buckeyes to shreds. OSU was a paper tiger that year
and the Mountaineers, under seventh year head coach Rich Rodriguez, were the
scourge of college football. With Pat White at quarterback, Steve Slaton and
freshmen super-recruit Noel Devine at tailback (RichRod prefers the term
“Superback” but it’s the running back with the speed to take it the distance)
and fullback Owen Schmitt blocking and running as well this was one of the most
talented and perhaps fastest backfields in the history of college football.
Although they weren’t any great shakes as a passing team, the WVU ground game
was nearly impossible to stop. Rodriguez’s read option based offense presented
defenses with a serious conundrum; pack your defenders in to stop the run
between the tackles and White would make you pay the moment you bit on the fake
to the back. Spread your defenders out to keep White from running wild and
Slaton and Devine would gash you for fifteen right up the middle. Get them in
third and short and the Mountaineer big uglies would drive block while 260
pound Owen Schmitt made you regret hitting him head on.
But, as college football fans
know, they didn’t play in that game against OSU. With melodrama swirling around
the program about Rodriguez flirtation with Michigan they dropped a 13-9 game
to a 4-7 Pitt team that shouldn’t have been able to stay within 30 points of
the Mountaineers.
Rodriguez and his entourage’s handling of the Michigan affair was an
absolute clinic of how not to leave your current position for another.
Rodriguez lied about his whereabouts, lied to his players, contacted West
Virginia recruits from his state-issued cell phone to try and get them to
follow him to Ann Arbor and, worst of all, insulted his alma mater and his home
state. In California or New York that may not sound like a big deal, but in
West Virginia, where state pride is taken very seriously and the WVU
Mountaineers are the traveling embodiment of a state that faces continual
ridicule, it stirred up a hornets nest of resentment and loathing.
The Mountaineers bowed up
their backs and against all odds, destroyed an Oklahoma team in the Fiesta Bowl
that was, by many knowledgeable talking heads, the most talented team in the
country. The emotional victory by West Virginia native, interim coach and all
around good guy Bill Stewart propelled the university administration to make an
emotional (and financial) decision to hire Stewart as the full time coach.
After two big BCS wins,
double digit wins season records and finishes in the Top 10, the Mountaineer
nation had arrived. And they weren’t going to tolerate 8 or 9 wins any longer.
Although many people don’t realize it, West Virginia is among the top fifteen
all-time winning-est programs in the history of college football. They were
finally getting the respect and recognition that they had long deserved and
many felt that Stewart’s nice guy approach was robbing the team of the
reputation it had built for nastiness on the field. (West Virginia also has a
reputation for nastiness from its fans as well but that is a discussion for
another time)
After three seasons of
sub-par performances, West Virginia Athletic Director Oliver Luck made the
decision to let Stewart go. It seemed that the vast majority of the fans and
booster thought that he was a wonderful man, a proud West Virginian, someone
that you’d love to have as a next door neighbor or the coach of your kids
soccer team or even the assistant coach but not someone that most wanted to be
at the helm of the ship. He was and is to this day, wildly popular in the state
but most were eager to see him go. Tragically, Bill Stewart died of a heart
attack while playing in a golf event the following year.
Here is where our story
begins.
Oliver Luck had reached back
to his Texas days and hired Dana Holgorsen, a hotshot offensive coordinator
with Oklahoma State who had also had stints at Houston and Texas Tech, all
highly productive offenses with star quarterbacks. For the uninitiated among
you, Oliver Luck is a graduate of West Virginia University and was the
quarterback for the team in the early 1980’s. A Rhodes Scholar finalist, he was
drafted by the Houston Oilers and served as the backup to Archie Manning. Luck
went to law school at the University of Texas and served as commissioner of the
World League of American Football and as president of the Houston/Harris County
Sports Authority. Luck hired Holgorsen as head coach in waiting, arguably the
one questionable thing he’s done in a career of high achievement. Holgorsen
would serve one season as the teams offensive coordinator before taking over
the head job.
After some shenanigans that
seemed to suggest that Bill Stewart night not be quite the nice guy that his
image seemed to portray, Holgorsen found himself taking over as head coach
immediately. Luck no doubt felt some pressure to act quickly on the Holgorsen
hire. West Virginia’s arch rival Pitt was also looking to replace their
departed coach in Dave Wannstadt and was looking hard at Holgorsen. (Pitt’s
embarrassing coaching carousel is also a subject for another time) Holgorsen
had produced prolific offense everywhere he’d been and was going to get a head
coaching job somewhere. Luck pulled the trigger and signed him to a contract
with an $11.6 million dollar buyout clause. Luck can be forgiven for the size
and scope of this buyout. West Virginia had been involved in incidents with
both RichRod and Bill Stewart over aspects of contract buyouts. With Holgorsen
as an Oklahoma native with deep Texas recruiting roots, West Virginia needed to
be certain that, if Holgorsen was going to be their man, he was going to be
there for a while or else someone was going to pay a bundle to hire him away.
If Holgorsen did well at West Virginia and an opening came about at say, Texas,
he would have been on the short list of possible candidates to replace Mack
Brown.
Although the 2011 season
wasn’t magical by Mountaineer standards (understand that this team has had two
undefeated seasons in the past 25 years and won three BCS bowls in a six year
span) they did manage to squeak out the Big East’s automatic BCS bid over
Connecticut and Cincinnati. In the Orange Bowl they did what West Virginia
always seems to do in BCS games; they made broadcasters and pundits look
stupid, not to mention the Clemson Tigers. In 2006, West Virginia was picked to
get mauled by Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. Nobody told the Mountaineers. They
jumped out to a 28-0 lead before Georgia managed to wake up and at least make a
game of it. In 2008 they obliterated the Oklahoma Sooners in the Fiesta Bowl. West
Virginia was given no chance to win the game. Sooner players were seen having
their pictures taken beside the Fiesta Bowl trophy in the days leading up to
the game, stating that once it got back to Norman, it would be put in a case
behind glass and they would never be able to get this close to it again. I
wasn’t able to ask any of the Sooner players from that game if they’d made the
drive to Morgantown
To visit “their” trophy.
But now those heady days seem
long past to West Virginia fans. The 2012 season saw them ranked fifth before
dropping five straight games. The Tavon Austin, Geno Smith and Stedman Bailey
show couldn’t put up enough points to make up for a defense that was just
awful. Historically awful. The Mountaineers finished that season 7-6, getting
manhandled by a Syracuse team in the lowly Pinstripe bowl who looked and acted
like they actually wanted to be there.
This season was a giant question mark for the
Mountaineer faithful. How would they replace the productivity of their wide
receivers? How do you replace a quarterback who starts in the NFL as a rookie
for the New York Jets? How do you improve a defense that was one of the worst
ever against the pass? The answers are quite simple really, even if the end
result isn’t good. Tavon Austin was a
once in a generation player. If you doubt me I suggest that you go watch his
three touchdown performance in the NFL a couple of weeks ago against the Colts.
No one as much as laid a finger on him all day. He is hands down the fastest
and quickest player in the NFL. Stedman Bailey simply caught everything that
was thrown his way. You can’t replace those things. However, you do what West
Virginia did. You open up playing time to true freshman if they earn it, you bring in Juco players to try and fill holes
and you encourage transfers. (encouraging transfers is tricky business but you
are naïve if you think that every team in the FBS doesn’t do it) In part the
strategy has worked and in part it hasn’t. West Virginia’s defense is vastly
improved from the previous one. They may not always look the part but its not
easy when your offense turns the ball over on your own ten yard line and then
says, “go out and hold them to a field goal for us.”
The quarterback position at
West Virginia is a disaster. The guy with the knowledge of the system and the
ability to read defenses is a marginal scholarship athlete at best who has a
weak arm and panics in the pocket. The transfer student from Florida State with
Blue and Gold blood in his veins has the heart of a lion but seems to have
little grasp of the playbook other than to either throw a middle screen or toss
it up for grabs to wideout Kevin White (Juco), who will become a beast with
time and will play on Sunday but right now is mostly unrealized potential. The
gunslinging 6’5”, 230 pound redshirt freshman with the cannon for an arm has no
clue what to do with the football once its snapped to him. He has time to
improve. The other two will be seniors next season. They are both as good as
they will ever get, although Clint Trickett will benefit from at least knowing
the system next year. If West Virginia can find another transfer or junior
college quarterback that can enroll in Janiary and participate in spring
football, they would be foolish not to take the chance and offer him a
scholarship. Auburn did it with Cam Newton, Wisconsin did it with Russell
Wilson. The fact that the job is wide open for the taking and that your last
quarterback is making millions in the NFL will add considerable weight to the
recruiting.
The Mountaineer offensive
line is just terrible. Trickett’s father, Rick Trickett, coached at West
Virginia under Rodriguez and built one of the most effective units in the
country. When Bobby Bowden (another West Virginia tie) came calling with more
money, Trickett bolted for Tallahassee. His offensive line this year for head
coach Jimbo Fisher (native West Virgninian) is one of the best in the country.
WVU needs to hire an offensive line coach that can bring back the attitude that
produced All-American talent like Jozwiak, Compton, Mozes, Paige and Stanchek.
They are out there. They aren’t cheap. Maybe the university can part with a
little of that new found Big Twelve TV money to pay for a coach that will make
a difference. The current one isn’t. The Mountaineers need to go trolling for
the best Juco talent that’s out there. Of course, so is everyone else. But the
Mountaineers have a pretty good pedigree of putting offensive linemen into the
NFL. They need to leverage that along with the carrot of early playing time for
those who can prove that they can do the job. Blocking junior college linemen
and safeties and blocking Jackson Jeffcoat are not the same thing. No matter
how good an offensive line recruit is coming out of high school, he isn’t
likely to be big enough, heavy enough or strong enough to start a D1 game.
They could also potentially
get that money from ridding themselves of ineffective coaches with exorbitant
salaries. Special teams coach Joe DeForest (yep, the same one from the Okie
State story that went nowhere) adds little to the staff and is essentially paid
to be Holgorsen’s party pal. DeForest presided over the defense last season
(yes, that defense). He simply needs to go and his salary needs to be divided
on an inexpensive special teams coach while the rest goes to find someone who
can teach twenty year olds how to block. Holgorsen will not likely be amenable
to letting his running buddy go. Luck will need to be forceful. Head coaches of
4 or 5 win teams that used to be 9 and 10 win teams don’t get to be indignant
and picky. Sorry, Dana.
That brings us to Holgorsen
himself. The truth is that Luck took a chance based on Holgorsen’s past
performance as an offensive coordinator and so far, it’s not panning out. It
may yet, though. Although his play calling is not good, Holgorsen is being
forced to use what he’s got. If the offensive line can’t pass protect for a
seven step drop, you can’t run plays that require a seven step drop. If you
have to keep two protectors in to block in order to buy yourself enough time to
execute a pass play, you can no longer employ a four wide look. He’s hindered
by the lack of talent on the line in everything he does. But Dana Holforsen’s
shortcomings as a coach aren’t really on questionable play calls. They are in
leadership. They are in the way he conducts himself on the sideline. Right now,
he is not head coach material. He may grow into the role and mature if given
time.
When the man in charge looks
like he’s losing control of his composure on the sidelines, it has a
detrimental effect on the players. These are young men that need to be led.
Throwing play cards and destroying headsets is immature and serves only to
lessen his authority over his team. Most parents want to be assured that their
son will be part of a program that is headed by a mature, level headed coach.
When that parent brings their child to a game at Mountaineer Field, does it
look like a situation where that is the case? Not now it doesn’t. It looks like
you’ve got a man in charge that isn’t in any more control of his emotions than
your eighteen year old son. That has a detrimental effect on recruiting,
something that West Virginia has historically done very well. In a state that
ranks 41st in population and produces only two or three FBS-level athletes
each year, it is absolutely vital that West Virginia keep a sterling reputation
as a place to come and play. Very few kids from Florida or New Jersey or Texas
grow up wanting to wear the Blue and Gold as children.
Dana Holgorsen can turn
things around at West Virginia. He won’t be fired no matter what happens
against Iowa State, no matter what some fans and boosters want. However, his
leash is short and the seat of his trousers should be getting very warm right
about now. If West Virginia doesn’t win eight games next season, and they
probably won’t, he’ll be gone. The schedule next year is less favorable than
the one this year.
If he’s fired from his first
head coaching job with a below .500 record at a school that has always been a
winner, he will have to wait a long time before he gets another chance to coach
at the D-1 level again.
Should Holgorsen be fired
after next season, or even in mid-season if things are going badly, Oliver Luck
won’t be able to go the “aggressive young assistant coach” route again. He’ll
be forced to hire a coach who has proven he could recruit and win in the past
but has for some reason or another been tarnished to make him more affordable
for West Virginia’s limited budget. The Mountaineers aren’t poor by NCAA
standards but they also aren’t Texas or Michigan or Alabama (Sorry, West
Virginia but Nick Saban isn’t coming home to coach – yet another West Virginia
link)
There are six tarnished
coaches right now that would jump at the chance to come to Morgantown, and
would do it on the cheap. I have listed these in order of likelihood.
1.
Rich Rodriguez – I know what you all said,
Mountaineers. Never in a million years. It’s amazing how quickly a million
years can go by.
2.
Terry Bowden – another West Virginia link.
Bowden played at West Virginia.
3.
Tommy Bowden – Ditto Terry but without the hint
of scandal. He’d like to coach again.
4.
Bobby Petrino – somebody is eventually going to
do it.
5.
Mike Locksley – West Virginia is a better job
than Maryland. He’d jump but he’s not well liked by those at West Virginia who
write big checks.
6.
Lane Kiffin – He can recruit like nobody’s
business. He may be a jerk but you already had RichRod. Could this be any
worse?
Stephen Walker writes blog articles on a wide range of topics. He is a
novelist and short story fiction writer who writes for the Erudite Aardvark and
other online concerns. He can be reached at stephen.walker@eruditeaardvark.com.
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